Sports Analysis & Risk Disclaimer

Decision support, not betting advice

Everything Edge Theory publishes — scores, probability estimates, "Qualified" or "Watch" labels, our written reasoning — is analysis, not instruction. We don't tell you what to bet, how much to risk, or when to stop. Those are your decisions, and yours alone.

No such thing as a lock

Sports outcomes are uncertain by nature. A high ET Score or a "Qualified" label reflects our own statistical confidence at the time we published it — it is not a guarantee, a prediction of certainty, or a promise of any result.

Past performance isn't future performance

Our public track record and any hit-rate statistics shown anywhere on this site describe what already happened. They do not predict what will happen next. A strong historical hit rate does not mean future picks will perform the same way.

Data and methodology limitations

Our analysis is built on real data sources, but those sources vary in quality and completeness across sports — for example, injury and role-status signal is more limited for some sports and leagues than others. Where our own data is incomplete, we say so directly in a card's "What ET saw" explanation rather than guessing. You should weigh that disclosed uncertainty yourself.

You are responsible for legality and your own risk

Sports wagering is illegal or restricted in some jurisdictions. It's your responsibility to know and follow the laws that apply to you. Edge Theory doesn't accept wagers, isn't a sportsbook, and takes no position on whether you should wager at all.

If gambling is a problem for you

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. In the United States, call or text the National Problem Gambling Helpline at 1-800-GAMBLER, or visit the National Council on Problem Gambling. Outside the US, look up your local problem-gambling support line.

Questions

Reach us at support@edgetheoryanalysis.com.